StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is now projecting Saint Mary's to be a six seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Gaels are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, but they won't need to win their conference tournament as they're the #16 team in the AP Poll and sit at #19 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 22-3 overall record and an 11-1 record in the West Coast.
During the last four games, Saint Mary's got a quality win against RPI #42 Brigham Young and wins against San Diego and Loyola Marymount but also dropped one against RPI #26 Gonzaga.
Saint Mary's is respectable against top competition, with a 6-3 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-2 record against the RPI Top 50 but an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. The Gaels boast three quality wins including RPI #42 Brigham Young (2 wins) and RPI #26 Gonzaga with no bad losses to speak of.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #57), Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #42), Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #65), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #55).
The first four teams out are Colorado (16-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #71), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #69), Ole Miss (14-9, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #68), and Oregon (17-7, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #70).
The next four out are Arizona (17-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #67), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #48), and Xavier (16-8, 7-3 A-10, StatRank #61).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference
