StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting Saint Mary's to make the NCAA Tournament as a nine seed. The Gaels are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, but they won't need to win their conference tournament as they're the #21 team in the AP Poll and sit at #25 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 23-4 overall record and a 12-2 record in the West Coast.
During its last four games, Saint Mary's registered wins against Santa Clara and San Diego but also suffered a loss to AP #24 Gonzaga and a bad loss to RPI #107 Loyola Marymount.
Saint Mary's is decent against top competition, with a 6-3 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-2 record against the RPI Top 50 but a 1-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Gaels have three quality wins including RPI #49 Brigham Young (2 wins) and AP #24 Gonzaga They have a single bad loss against RPI #107 Loyola Marymount.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Kansas State (17-8, 6-7 Big 12, StatRank #58), Illinois (16-10, 5-8 Big Ten, StatRank #54), NC State (18-7, 7-3 ACC, StatRank #49), and South Florida (16-10, 9-4 Big East, StatRank #57).
The first four teams out are LSU (15-10, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #78), Minnesota (17-9, 5-8 Big Ten, StatRank #70), St. Joseph's (PA) (17-10, 7-5 A-10, StatRank #46), and Washington (17-8, 10-3 Pac 12, StatRank #69).
The next four out are Arkansas (17-9, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #71), Brigham Young (21-6, 9-3 West Coast, StatRank #48), Colorado (17-8, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #70), and Oregon (18-7, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #69).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference